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Why Polaris (PII) Shares Are Trading Lower Today

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What Happened?

Shares of off-Road and powersports vehicle corporation Polaris (NYSE: PII) fell 2.2% in the afternoon session after it reported third-quarter results that included a disappointing forecast for the full year and announced a product recall. Despite a 7% increase in sales to $1.8 billion for the quarter, the company projected a full-year adjusted earnings loss of approximately $0.05 per share. The negative outlook overshadowed the sales growth, which was driven by its Off-Road and Marine segments. Adding to the concerns, Polaris recalled some of its 2025-2026 Ranger Off-Road Vehicles. The recall was due to an improperly routed alternator cable that could cause an electrical short, posing a fire hazard. While Morgan Stanley did raise its price target on the stock to $72 from $68, the firm kept its 'Equalweight' rating.

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What Is The Market Telling Us

Polaris’s shares are very volatile and have had 28 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 7 days ago when the stock gained 3.5% on the news that a cooler-than-expected inflation report fueled optimism for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. The September Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.0% year-over-year, coming in just below the 3.1% analysts had forecast. While still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, investors interpreted the slight cooling as a sign that inflationary pressures may be easing, potentially giving the central bank room to consider interest rate cuts in the near future. Sectors that are typically sensitive to interest rates, such as real estate and utilities, saw a notable lift. Lower rates can reduce borrowing costs and increase the appeal of dividend-paying stocks, boosting investor confidence in these areas.

Polaris is up 16.6% since the beginning of the year, and at $65.73 per share, it is trading close to its 52-week high of $71.47 from November 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Polaris’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $707.92.

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