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3 S&P 500 Stocks We’re Skeptical Of

SBUX Cover Image

While the S&P 500 (^GSPC) includes industry leaders, not every stock in the index is a winner. Some companies are past their prime, weighed down by poor execution, weak financials, or structural headwinds.

Picking the right S&P 500 stocks requires more than just buying big names, and that’s where StockStory comes in. That said, here are three S&P 500 stocks to avoid and some better alternatives instead.

Starbucks (SBUX)

Market Cap: $112.8 billion

Started by three friends in Seattle’s historic Pike Place Market, Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) is a globally-renowned coffeehouse chain that offers a wide selection of high-quality coffee, beverages, and food items.

Why Do We Avoid SBUX?

  1. Lagging same-store sales over the past two years suggest it might have to change its pricing and marketing strategy to stimulate demand
  2. Costs have risen faster than its revenue over the last year, causing its operating margin to decline by 6.8 percentage points
  3. Performance over the past six years shows its incremental sales were much less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 5.9% annually

At $98.94 per share, Starbucks trades at 39.9x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than SBUX.

News Corp (NWSA)

Market Cap: $13.27 billion

Established in 2013 after a restructuring, News Corp (NASDAQ: NWSA) is a multinational conglomerate known for its news publishing, broadcasting, digital media, and book publishing.

Why Are We Out on NWSA?

  1. Sales were flat over the last five years, indicating it’s failed to expand its business
  2. Ability to fund investments or reward shareholders with increased buybacks or dividends is restricted by its weak free cash flow margin of 7.3% for the last two years
  3. Returns on capital haven’t budged, indicating management couldn’t drive additional value creation

News Corp’s stock price of $22.74 implies a valuation ratio of 21.2x forward P/E. If you’re considering NWSA for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)

Market Cap: $41.01 billion

With its name deriving from the Commonwealth of Virginia’s nickname, Old Dominion (NASDAQ: ODFL) delivers less-than-truckload (LTL) and full-container load freight.

Why Are We Cautious About ODFL?

  1. Declining unit sales over the past two years show it’s struggled to increase its sales volumes and had to rely on price increases
  2. Earnings per share have dipped by 7.2% annually over the past two years, which is concerning because stock prices follow EPS over the long term
  3. Shrinking returns on capital suggest that increasing competition is eating into the company’s profitability

Old Dominion Freight Line is trading at $196.11 per share, or 40.8x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including ODFL in your portfolio.

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