GMS delivered better-than-expected results for the first quarter, with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share surpassing Wall Street estimates despite a year-over-year sales decline. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to strong execution on cost reduction initiatives and share gains in the single-family residential segment, partially offsetting broader market headwinds. CEO John Turner emphasized that, “cash flow generation continues to demonstrate our operational through this down cycle,” highlighting the company’s ability to maintain financial flexibility and service levels even as both residential and commercial construction activity remained soft.
Is now the time to buy GMS? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
GMS (GMS) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $1.33 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.30 billion (5.6% year-on-year decline, 2.9% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.29 vs analyst estimates of $1.11 (15.9% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $109.8 million vs analyst estimates of $104.5 million (8.2% margin, 5.1% beat)
- Operating Margin: 4.5%, down from 7.1% in the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue fell 9.7% year on year (5.5% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $4.17 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions GMS’s Q1 Earnings Call
- David Manthey (Baird) asked about the drivers behind expected sequential improvement in single-family trends. CEO John Turner attributed it to share gains with large builders and regional strengths from prior acquisitions.
- Mike Dahl (RBC Capital Markets) pressed on the sustainability of margin targets and the balance between market recovery and internal cost reductions. Turner responded that about half of the margin improvement relies on volume recovery, while the other half comes from a more efficient cost base and favorable product mix.
- Matthew Bouley (Barclays) questioned the company’s visibility into single-family market demand and order pipeline. Turner explained that GMS generally has a three-to-six-month lead time, providing reasonable near-term visibility but acknowledging uncertainty if broader housing starts were to deteriorate further.
- Brian Biros (Thompson Research Group) asked about adapting to the increasing concentration of large homebuilders and the impact on GMS’s distribution model. Turner emphasized that national scale and service quality have enabled share gains with major builders, positioning GMS well for eventual pent-up demand.
- Kurt Yinger (D.A. Davidson) inquired about the success of passing through wallboard price increases and the industry’s ability to sustain pricing in a lower-demand environment. Turner said only limited price increases have been realized so far and that further success will depend on demand stabilization and industry utilization rates.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) whether GMS can fully realize the cost savings and efficiency gains from its operational streamlining, (2) signs of stabilization or recovery in single-family and multifamily construction activity, and (3) the company’s ability to execute on pricing initiatives and expand its complementary products portfolio. The pace of interest rate changes and macroeconomic sentiment will also be critical factors for demand.
GMS currently trades at $109.36, up from $73.12 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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