
Wall Street has issued downbeat forecasts for the stocks in this article. These predictions are rare - financial institutions typically hesitate to say bad things about a company because it can jeopardize their other revenue-generating business lines like M&A advisory.
At StockStory, we look beyond the headlines with our independent analysis to determine whether these bearish calls are justified. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks where the skepticism is well-placed and some better opportunities to consider.
FedEx (FDX)
Consensus Price Target: $315.82 (-10.6% implied return)
Sporting one of the largest air cargo fleets in the world, FedEx (NYSE: FDX) is a global provider of parcel and cargo delivery services.
Why Should You Sell FDX?
- Large revenue base makes it harder to increase sales quickly, and its annual revenue growth of 1.2% over the last two years was below our standards for the industrials sector
- Poor free cash flow margin of 2.4% for the last five years limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends
- Shrinking returns on capital from an already weak position reveal that neither previous nor ongoing investments are yielding the desired results
At $353.40 per share, FedEx trades at 17.2x forward P/E. If you’re considering FDX for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.
M&T Bank (MTB)
Consensus Price Target: $230.24 (0.9% implied return)
Tracing its roots back to 1856 when it was founded as Manufacturers and Traders Bank in Buffalo, New York, M&T Bank (NYSE: MTB) is a regional bank holding company that provides retail and commercial banking, trust, wealth management, and investment services to consumers and businesses.
Why Does MTB Worry Us?
- Muted 1.4% annual revenue growth over the last two years shows its demand lagged behind its banking peers
- Earnings growth over the last two years fell short of the peer group average as its EPS only increased by 4.2% annually
- Estimated tangible book value per share growth of 4.1% for the next 12 months implies profitability will slow from its two-year trend
M&T Bank’s stock price of $228.12 implies a valuation ratio of 1.2x forward P/B. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including MTB in your portfolio.
WaFd Bank (WAFD)
Consensus Price Target: $33.38 (-0.3% implied return)
Founded in 1917 and rebranded from Washington Federal in 2023, WaFd (NASDAQ: WAFD) is a bank holding company that provides lending, deposit services, and insurance through its Washington Federal Bank subsidiary across eight western states.
Why Are We Out on WAFD?
- 6.9% annual net interest income growth over the last five years was slower than its banking peers
- 48.8 basis point (100 basis points = 1 percentage point) decline in its net interest margin over the last two years reflects the firm’s willingness to accept lower profitability to defend its market position
- Performance over the past two years shows its incremental sales were much less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 8.9% annually
WaFd Bank is trading at $33.48 per share, or 0.9x forward P/B. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why WAFD doesn’t pass our bar.
Stocks We Like More
Your portfolio can’t afford to be based on yesterday’s story. The risk in a handful of heavily crowded stocks is rising daily.
The names generating the next wave of massive growth are right here in our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).
Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.
